SwordSoup
GM Class
Gabriel
Posts: 134
Leagues Played: Battle League, Character League, Club League, Adult League, Crestfall, Falnorian, Life, Teriock
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Post by SwordSoup on Mar 23, 2013 16:52:02 GMT -8
Hello, I made this thread to share some facts on (junior league) death bag odds that I found. I wanted to convert the death bag into a simple, d100 table. So, I took a short script I wrote that simulates the death bag and added a few features to it so, the program would automatically pull from the death bag one million times and reveal the results. Out of the million pulls I got the following results: My program was kind enough to provide me with the percentages of the pulls that belonged to each category. I then put the numbers into a table for a d100. It required a little squeezing but here is the final result:
Now, just a few statistics. One black stone is the most likely pull (elves normally don't gain a level). Elves are about 11.7 times more likely to PD than everyone else. Assuming that 1/5 of characters are elves than there is about a 4.7% chance for any given character to PD.
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Karen
GM Class
Queen of the Rainbow Light
A non-Junior League character.
Posts: 101
Leagues Played: Club League, Adult League, Falnorian, Life
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Post by Karen on Mar 25, 2013 14:53:42 GMT -8
That's actually very reassuring.
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Trevor
Tennant
Trevor
%\0\%
Posts: 16
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Post by Trevor on Mar 25, 2013 16:14:34 GMT -8
So every death, a human will PD about as much as they become close royalty. Good to know.
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Scott
Man at Arms
Sir Scott of the Rainbow Light
Yeeeesssss?
Posts: 116
Leagues Played: Character League, Club League, Adult League, Falnorian
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Post by Scott on Apr 6, 2013 22:23:30 GMT -8
Of course more players each season probably die from morgant than they do from just, umm... Dying.
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SwordSoup
GM Class
Gabriel
Posts: 134
Leagues Played: Battle League, Character League, Club League, Adult League, Crestfall, Falnorian, Life, Teriock
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Post by SwordSoup on Jan 13, 2014 22:11:40 GMT -8
I didn't get new statistics for new deathbag with the "purple" stone, extra deaths, bonus stones and whatnot. However, I am here to announce that I wrote (updated a really old, pre-existing one, which is why the code is so ugly) a little javascript program that simulates the new deathbag. Link here. It's javascript so it doesn't have to be downloaded and can be accessed on phones and whatnot.
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ZackAttack
GM Class
Zack
Do you like my hat?
Posts: 72
Leagues Played: Battle League, Character League, Club League, Adult League, Crestfall, Falnorian, Life, Teriock
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Post by ZackAttack on Jan 14, 2014 19:33:58 GMT -8
The death bag simulator seems to draw random numbers of stones rather than the number I am entering in; do you know why this might be happening?
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SwordSoup
GM Class
Gabriel
Posts: 134
Leagues Played: Battle League, Character League, Club League, Adult League, Crestfall, Falnorian, Life, Teriock
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Post by SwordSoup on Jan 14, 2014 19:46:32 GMT -8
It's for junior. The first death is ten stones and each additional death requires one more stone be pulled. For example, the fifth death would call for fourteen stones. Since it sounds as though you were trying it for adult league, I added an old adult league deathbag button I made a while ago as well. In case you would rather try that...
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Scott
Man at Arms
Sir Scott of the Rainbow Light
Yeeeesssss?
Posts: 116
Leagues Played: Character League, Club League, Adult League, Falnorian
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Post by Scott on Jan 15, 2014 16:30:13 GMT -8
Actually I checked it again, and it seems to actually be drawing random number. When I repeatedly entered 5 into the junior league one it pulled fourteen the first time and then 19, and then repeated that pattern over and over again.
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Post by Celebfealor on Jan 15, 2014 19:36:58 GMT -8
And you're sure it's not just the "draw extra stones for divine intervention" thing?
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Nick
Man at Arms
Nick
You know you?re in love when you can?t fall asleep because reality is finally better than dreams.%\0
Posts: 126
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Post by Nick on Jan 16, 2014 14:19:59 GMT -8
Nice message you got there. Try putting in 33 to the AL generator.
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Lily
Man at Arms
Quinn
Mm
Posts: 120
Leagues Played: Battle League, Character League, Club League, Adult League, Falnorian, Life
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Post by Lily on Jan 16, 2014 16:44:40 GMT -8
You should do the same thing to the JL one. It crashes if you do 33+.
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ZackAttack
GM Class
Zack
Do you like my hat?
Posts: 72
Leagues Played: Battle League, Character League, Club League, Adult League, Crestfall, Falnorian, Life, Teriock
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Post by ZackAttack on Jan 16, 2014 20:24:28 GMT -8
Quinn, you should put more than 23 deaths into the JL one.
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Post by nell on Jan 16, 2014 22:40:55 GMT -8
What is the new additional death thing for junior league?
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Post by ablacklama on Jan 18, 2014 23:18:23 GMT -8
First death in a set you draw ten like normal. After that you draw one more stone for every death that follows
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SwordSoup
GM Class
Gabriel
Posts: 134
Leagues Played: Battle League, Character League, Club League, Adult League, Crestfall, Falnorian, Life, Teriock
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Post by SwordSoup on Aug 28, 2015 12:52:05 GMT -8
Have some updated statistics with Adult League and the divine intervention stone: here.
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